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Croatia vs England: Croatia host England in Nations League rematch with contrasting form

UEFA Nations League

League A – 3

Croatia
VS
England
Saturday, 3 October 202616:00 UTC

Croatia vs England preview: England arrive in strong recent form with four wins in their last five matches and a commanding goal difference, while Croatia show mixed results despite a solid points tally. These sides have met five times in recent years, with England holding a clear edge in the head-to-head record.

Croatia3W 0D 2L last 5GF 8 · GA 8
Recent H2H1 – 1 – 3
England4W 0D 1L last 5GF 14 · GA 10

Our Prediction: Croatia vs England

Match outlook: England to win · Confidence: Medium

Over 2.5 goals looks more likely than not (both teams together average 4.0 goals per match in recent games).

Croatia took 9 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded); England took 12 of 15 (14 scored, 10 conceded). In their last 5 meetings Croatia won 1, England won 3 and 1 ended level.

Form-based outlook from each side’s last matches and their head-to-head record. It is a statistical lean, not a guarantee and not betting advice.

How did our prediction for Croatia vs England do?

Every QVABET prediction is settled after the match and kept on the public record.

See the result

Key Factors

FORM

England's superior recent form: 4 wins in 5 matches with 12 points and a +4 goal difference

FACTOR

Croatia's inconsistency: 3 wins and 2 losses from 5 recent matches despite 9 points

H2H

England's head-to-head dominance: 3 wins in 5 recent meetings, including a 4-2 victory in June 2026

DEFENCE

Defensive stability gap: England have conceded 10 goals in 5 matches; Croatia 8, but England's attacking output (14 goals) far exceeds Croatia's (8)

FACTOR

Home ground factor: Croatia's previous home results against England show they can compete (2018 2-1 win, 2018 0-0 draw)

UEFA Nations League League A context

This League A fixture is part of the 2026 Nations League campaign, where both sides compete in the top tier of European international football. The Nations League format provides competitive matches between established teams during the international calendar, offering valuable preparation and ranking points.

Recent form comparison

England enter this match in strong form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and accumulating 12 points from that sample. Their attacking threat is evident: 14 goals scored against 10 conceded. Croatia have taken 9 points from 5 recent matches with 3 wins, 2 losses, and no draws, showing inconsistency. Their goal record is level at 8 for and 8 against, indicating a team that has struggled to build momentum despite occasional strong performances.

Croatia
LWWLW
9PTS
8GF
8GA

MIXED FORM

England
WLWWW
12PTS
14GF
10GA

GOOD FORM

Form Points
Croatia9
England12

Head-to-head record

England hold a significant advantage in recent meetings. Across their five most recent encounters, England have won 3 times, Croatia once, with 1 draw. Most recently, England won 4-2 at home against Croatia in the World Cup (June 2026). Earlier matches include England's 1-0 Euro Championship victory in 2021 and a 2-1 Nations League win in 2018. Croatia's sole victory came in a 2-1 World Cup win at home in July 2018, while they drew 0-0 at home in a Nations League fixture in October 2018. The pattern shows England in the ascendancy in direct competition, though Croatia have proven capable of competing on their own ground.

Croatia 1Draws 1England 3
17 JUN 2026 · WORLD CUP
England4 : 2Croatia
ENGLAND WIN
13 JUN 2021 · EURO CHAMPIONSHIP
England1 : 0Croatia
ENGLAND WIN
18 NOV 2018 · UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
England2 : 1Croatia
ENGLAND WIN
12 OCT 2018 · UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
Croatia0 : 0England
DRAW
11 JUL 2018 · WORLD CUP
Croatia2 : 1England
CROATIA WIN

Match outlook

This fixture presents a clear contrast in current trajectory. England's superior recent form—particularly their four wins in five matches and dominant goal difference of +4—suggests a team in confident rhythm. Croatia's mixed results, despite accumulating 9 points, indicate inconsistency that could be exposed against in-form opposition. The head-to-head record further favors England, who have won 3 of 5 recent meetings and scored 4 goals in their most recent encounter on this opposition. However, Croatia's home advantage and their proven ability to compete in this fixture (evidenced by their 2018 World Cup victory and 2018 draw at home) means they will not be without hope. The balance of the available evidence points toward England as the stronger side on current form, but international football at this level remains competitive, and a home performance could see Croatia mount a serious challenge.

More free football match previews and form guides: QVABET match reviews. Also read our Ukraine vs Northern Ireland: Ukraine and Northern Ireland Meet in Nations League Matchup with Contrasting Form.

Our record on these teams

Every QVABET prediction is settled against the final result and kept on the record. See Croatia’s prediction record · England’s prediction record · the full QVABET results archive.


After the Match

Updated 4 Oct 2026 from api-sports fixture data. The pre-match analysis above is unchanged.

Final score: Croatia 0–7 England (half-time 0–4)

How our prediction did

We picked England to win. The match ended 0–7, a England win: correct. Goals: we leaned over 2.5, there were 7: correct.

We keep every outlook on the page after the match, right or wrong.

Key events

  • 8' Goal, England – Harry Kane (assist Jude Bellingham)
  • 21' Goal, England – Jude Bellingham (assist Anthony Gordon)
  • 39' Goal, England – Anthony Gordon (assist Jarell Quansah)
  • 45' Goal, England – Bukayo Saka (assist Jude Bellingham)
  • 53' Goal, England – Harry Kane (assist Elliot Anderson)
  • 68' Goal, England – Bukayo Saka (assist Harry Kane)
  • 87' Goal, England – Morgan Rogers (assist Jude Bellingham)

Match statistics (api-sports)

Croatia England
Ball Possession 36% 64%
Total Shots 12 19
Shots on Goal 1 10
Corner Kicks 1 6
Fouls 10 6
Yellow Cards 1 0

Next fixtures

  • Croatia: 6 Oct 2026 vs Spain (UEFA Nations League)
  • England: 6 Oct 2026 vs Czechia (UEFA Nations League)
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