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Poland vs Sweden: Poland host Sweden in UEFA Nations League League B finale

UEFA Nations League

League B – 6

Poland
VS
Sweden
Tuesday, 17 November 202619:45 UTC

Poland vs Sweden preview: Poland face a resurgent Sweden in the final matchday of League B, with the visitors arriving on a stronger run of form and holding a commanding head-to-head advantage. This fixture offers a test of whether Poland can arrest their inconsistency at home against a side that has won three of their last four outings.

Poland1W 2D 2L last 5GF 9 · GA 6
Recent H2H1 – 0 – 3
Sweden3W 1D 1L last 5GF 7 · GA 6

Our Prediction: Poland vs Sweden

Match outlook: Sweden to win · Confidence: Medium

Goals: no clear lean either way (both teams together average 2.8 goals per match in recent games).

Poland took 5 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded); Sweden took 10 of 15 (7 scored, 6 conceded). In their last 4 meetings Poland won 1, Sweden won 3 and 0 ended level.

Form-based outlook from each side’s last matches and their head-to-head record. It is a statistical lean, not a guarantee and not betting advice.

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League B Finale

This matchday 6 fixture concludes Poland and Sweden's campaign in UEFA Nations League League B. The final round offers both sides a chance to end their group phase on a particular note, with the competition's structure meaning final-day results often determine positioning and any playoff pathways within the division.

Form in Focus

Sweden have shown considerably stronger momentum over their last five outings, accumulating 10 points from 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. They have scored 7 goals while conceding 6. Poland, by contrast, have gathered 5 points from 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses across the same span, netting 9 goals but also leaking 6. Sweden's recent trajectory suggests growing confidence heading into this encounter, whereas Poland's inconsistency—particularly a loss in their most recent fixture—leaves them searching for stability.

Poland
LWLDD
5PTS
9GF
6GA

MIXED FORM

Sweden
WDWWL
10PTS
7GF
6GA

GOOD FORM

Form Points
Poland5
Sweden10

Head-to-Head Record

Sweden hold a commanding edge in recent meetings. Across their four most recent encounters, Sweden have won 3 times while Poland have won once, with no draws between them. Most notably, Sweden won 3-1 at home against Poland on 28 September 2026, just weeks before this fixture. Earlier in 2026, Sweden also defeated Poland 3-2 in World Cup qualification. Poland's sole recent victory came in March 2022, a 2-0 home win during the same qualifying cycle. This pattern of Swedish dominance, particularly in direct head-to-head play, underscores the challenge Poland face on their own ground.

Poland 1Draws 0Sweden 3
28 SEP 2026 · UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
Sweden3 : 1Poland
SWEDEN WIN
31 MAR 2026 · WORLD CUP – QUALIFICATION EUROPE
Sweden3 : 2Poland
SWEDEN WIN
29 MAR 2022 · WORLD CUP – QUALIFICATION EUROPE
Poland2 : 0Sweden
POLAND WIN
23 JUN 2021 · EURO CHAMPIONSHIP
Sweden3 : 2Poland
SWEDEN WIN

Outlook

Sweden arrive as the in-form side with a clear psychological advantage, having beaten Poland convincingly in September and holding a 3-1 record in their last four meetings. Yet Poland will draw encouragement from their superior goal-scoring record in recent matches (9 goals vs Sweden's 7) and the home advantage, which historically has mattered in this fixture—Poland's sole recent H2H win came at home. The tension in this contest lies between Sweden's current momentum and form-based edge against Poland's need to find cohesion at home and overcome a recent pattern of draws and defeats. Both defences have been similarly tested, conceding 6 goals each, suggesting that attacking intent may be rewarded. Poland's ability to convert their home status and superior attacking output into a result will likely determine whether they can upset the recent script written by their Swedish visitors.

Key Factors

FORM

Sweden's superior recent form: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss over their last five matches vs Poland's mixed record of 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

H2H

Head-to-head dominance: Sweden have won 3 of the 4 recent meetings between the sides, including a 3-1 victory just weeks ago

FACTOR

Poland's home record: Mixed results in recent outings, with 2 losses, 2 draws, and only 1 win from their last five

DEFENCE

Defensive vulnerability: Poland have conceded 6 goals in their last five matches, the same as Sweden despite playing fewer attacking fixtures

More free football match previews and form guides: QVABET match reviews. Also read our Denmark vs Norway: Mixed Form Meets Struggling Visitors in UEFA Nations League.

Our record on these teams

Every QVABET prediction is settled against the final result and kept on the record. See Poland’s prediction record · the full QVABET results archive.

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