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Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Newcastle Host Aston Villa in Contrasting Form Battle

Premier League

Regular Season – 7

Newcastle
VS
Aston Villa
Saturday, 17 October 202616:30 UTCSt. James' Park · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Aston Villa preview: Newcastle and Aston Villa arrive at St. James' Park with markedly different recent trajectories: the hosts occupy a mid-table position with a mixed recent record, while Villa sit lower in the standings but have shown sharper attacking form over their last five matches. A recent Premier League meeting between these sides offers important context for how the fixture may unfold.

Newcastle3W 1D 1L last 5GF 8 · GA 7
Recent H2H2 – 1 – 2
Aston Villa4W 0D 1L last 5GF 13 · GA 8

Our Prediction: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Match outlook: Slight edge to Aston Villa — a draw is a live outcome · Confidence: Low

Over 2.5 goals looks more likely than not (both teams together average 3.6 goals per match in recent games).

Newcastle took 10 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded); Aston Villa took 12 of 15 (13 scored, 8 conceded). In their last 5 meetings Newcastle won 2, Aston Villa won 2 and 1 ended level.

Form-based outlook from each side’s last matches and their head-to-head record. It is a statistical lean, not a guarantee and not betting advice.

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Head-to-Head Record

Newcastle and Aston Villa have met five times in recent history. The record is evenly split: Newcastle have won 2, Aston Villa have won 2, and there has been 1 draw. Most recently, Aston Villa won 2-0 away at Newcastle in a Premier League match on 25 January 2026, demonstrating their ability to control this fixture on the road. Before that, Newcastle secured a 3-0 home victory on Boxing Day 2024. The teams have also met twice this calendar year in cup and league competition, with results alternating between the sides. Given the thin sample and the mix of competitions involved, no single pattern dominates the head-to-head record.

Newcastle 2Draws 1Aston Villa 2
14 FEB 2026 · FA CUP
Aston Villa1 : 3Newcastle
NEWCASTLE WIN
25 JAN 2026 · PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle0 : 2Aston Villa
ASTON VILLA WIN
16 AUG 2025 · PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa0 : 0Newcastle
DRAW
19 APR 2025 · PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa4 : 1Newcastle
ASTON VILLA WIN
26 DEC 2024 · PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle3 : 0Aston Villa
NEWCASTLE WIN

Form Over the Last Five Matches

Newcastle's last five matches show 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, accumulating 10 points with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. Aston Villa's recent form is markedly sharper: 4 wins from 5 matches with 12 points, 13 goals scored, and 8 conceded. Villa's attacking output stands out—they have been significantly more prolific in front of goal across their recent run, despite sitting lower in the league table. Newcastle's form is labelled as positive but more volatile, with both wins and a loss in their recent sequence.

Newcastle
WLWDW
10PTS
8GF
7GA

GOOD FORM

Aston Villa
WWWLW
12PTS
13GF
8GA

GOOD FORM

Form Points
Newcastle10
Aston Villa12

Current League Positions

Newcastle hold a 9th-place finish with 8 points (1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses from their 3 league outings), placing them in the upper-middle tier of the table. Aston Villa's record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss from 3 league matches has yielded 4 points and a 16th-place position. While Newcastle's early record is more stable, Aston Villa's recent form outside the league context shows a different picture of their attacking potential.

Team Rank Points P W D L
Newcastle 9 8 3 1 2 0
Aston Villa 16 4 3 1 1 1

Premier League Context

This fixture takes place in Round 7 of the 2026 Premier League season, with both sides still in the early phase of their campaign. Newcastle currently occupy 9th place with 8 points from 3 league matches played, while Aston Villa sit 16th with 4 points from 3 matches. The standings gap reflects Newcastle's more consistent league start, though both teams remain well within striking distance of the upper half at this early stage.

Key Factors

GOALS

Aston Villa's superior recent form: 4 wins in their last 5 matches with 13 goals scored, compared to Newcastle's 3 wins from 5 with 8 goals

STANDINGS

Newcastle's standings advantage: ranked 9th with 8 points from 3 league matches, while Aston Villa sit 16th with 4 points from 3

H2H

Even head-to-head record: Newcastle and Aston Villa have won 2 each from their last 5 meetings, with one draw

DEFENCE

Defensive contrast: Newcastle have conceded 7 goals in their last 5, while Aston Villa have conceded 8 despite playing more attacking football

FACTOR

Recent Premier League meeting: Aston Villa won 2-0 away at Newcastle in January 2026, showing they can nullify the home side's setup

Match Outlook

This fixture presents a clash between contrasting recent signals. Newcastle's standings position reflects their league consistency and home-ground stability, yet their recent form shows only 3 wins from 5 matches and a relatively modest goal tally of 8 in that span. Aston Villa, despite their lower league placement, have demonstrated superior attacking thrust with 4 wins from 5 and 13 goals scored—a significant output advantage that suggests they are building momentum. The head-to-head record offers little predictive weight, split evenly at 2-2 with a draw, and complicated by the fact that these teams have met across different competitions in recent months. Newcastle's home advantage is a traditional factor, but Aston Villa's recent 2-0 away victory at St. James' Park in January shows they are capable of stifling the home side's threat. The key tension is whether Newcastle's league stability and home ground will contain Aston Villa's current attacking form, or whether Villa's sharper edge in goal-scoring and recent wins will translate into three points on the road.

More free football match previews and form guides: QVABET match reviews. Also read our Hull City vs Everton: Hull City Host Everton in Contrasting Form Battle.

Our record on these teams

Every QVABET prediction is settled against the final result and kept on the record. See Newcastle’s prediction record · Aston Villa’s prediction record · the full QVABET results archive.

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